El Niño News

NOAA Increases Prediction for Atlantic Hurricane Season to “Above-Normal”

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is increasing its prediction for the ongoing 2023 Atlantic hurricane season to “above-normal” activity. Warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures across much of the tropical and subtropical Atlantic are likely to offset the usually limiting atmospheric …

Scientists Probe Sudden Spike in Ocean Temperatures

The world’s oceans have suddenly spiked much hotter and well above record levels in the last few weeks, with scientists trying to figure out what it means and whether it forecasts a surge in atmospheric warming. Some researchers think the …

Weather’s Unwanted Guest: Nasty La Nina Keeps Showing Up

Something weird is up with La Nina, the natural but potent weather event linked to more drought and wildfires in the western United States and more Atlantic hurricanes. It’s becoming the nation’s unwanted weather guest and meteorologists said the West’s …

Researchers Predict Above-Average Hurricane Season This Year

Colorado State University hurricane researchers are predicting an above-average Atlantic hurricane season in 2021, citing the likely absence of El Niño as a primary factor. The CSU Tropical Meteorology Project team is predicting 17 named storms during the Atlantic hurricane …

Billions Will Experience ‘Sahara’ Like Heat in Next 50 Years, Report States

Roughly a third of the global population could experience an average annual temperature of 84.2 degrees Fahrenheit (29C) in the next 50 years, with temperatures currently found in small part of the planet, mostly concentrated in the Sahara. That’s the …

Spring Forecast: 65% Chance of No El Niño or La Niña

There is about a 65% chance that neutral weather conditions will prevail in the Northern Hemisphere this spring with no El Niño or La Niña, up from 60% last month, a U.S. government weather forecaster said March 12. The El …

Study Finds El Niños Getting Stronger

Climate change is making stronger El Niños, which change weather worldwide and heat up an already warming planet, a new study finds. Scientists examined 33 El Niños—natural warming of equatorial Pacific that triggers weather extremes across the globe—since 1901. They …

Australia Floods Cost Insurers US$635M in February: Aon’s Catastrophe Recap

Australia’s Northern Queensland experienced widespread flooding from Jan. 26 to Feb. 7, which cost insurers more than A$893 million (US$635 million) with total economic losses of at least A$1.7 billion (US$1.2 billion). according to Impact Forecasting, Aon’s catastrophe model development …

There’s 65% Chance That Weak El Niño Will Emerge in Spring, Says U.S. Weather Service

There is a 65 percent chance of an El Niño weather pattern emerging during the northern hemisphere spring this year, a U.S. government weather forecaster said on Thursday. “However, given the timing and that a weak event is favored, significant …

JBA Risk Management Launches India Crop Model for Re/Insurers as El Niño Looms

JBA Risk Management (JBA), the UK-based modeling firm, has launched an India crop catastrophe model for the re/insurance market. More commonly known for flood maps and models, JBA collaborated with Chaucer through its office in Singapore to develop this probabilistic …